^Kuznets S. Secular Movements in Production and Prices. Their Nature and their Bearing upon Cyclical Fluctuations. Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1930.
^See, e.g., Forrester J. W. New Perspectives on Economic Growth. Alternatives to Growth – A Search for Sustainable Futures / Ed. by D. L. Meadows. Cambridge, MA: Ballinger, 1977. P. 107–121; Korotayev, Andrey V., & Tsirel, Sergey V. A Spectral Analysis of World GDP Dynamics: Kondratieff Waves, Kuznets Swings, Juglar and Kitchin Cycles in Global Economic Development, and the 2008–2009 Economic Crisis （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）. Structure and Dynamics. 2010. Vol.4. #1. P.3-57.
^The Great 18-Year Real Estate Cycle. Cato Institute. 2010-01-22 [2020-03-31]. （原始内容于2018-10-26）.
^Why we must halt the land cycle. Financial Times. [2020-03-31]. （原始内容于2020-03-17）.
^Harrison, Fred. Fred Harrison: Want to get rid of boom and bust? Tax land, not income. The Guardian. 2005-04-11 [2020-03-31]. （原始内容于2020-05-16）.
^Howrey, E. "A spectrum analysis of the long swing hypothesis." International Economic Review. 9:228-252. 1968.
^Cogley, Timothy and Nason, James M. "Effects of the Hodrick-Prescott filter on trend and difference stationary time series: implications for business cycle research." in Real Business Cycles: A Reader. eds. James Hartley, Kevin Hoover, and Kevin D. Salyer. 1998. p. 636.
^Korotayev, Andrey V., & Tsirel, Sergey V. A Spectral Analysis of World GDP Dynamics: Kondratieff Waves, Kuznets Swings, Juglar and Kitchin Cycles in Global Economic Development, and the 2008–2009 Economic Crisis （页面存档备份，存于互联网档案馆）. Structure and Dynamics. 2010. Vol.4. #1. P.3-57.
十月 18, 2023
库兹涅茨周期, 英語, kuznets, swing, kuznets, cycle, 是西蒙, 库兹涅茨在1930年发现的中等长度的经济周期, 长为15, 25年, 库兹涅茨把这些周期与人口过程联系在一起, 特别是与移民流入, 流出以及它们引起的建筑建设强度变化联系在一起, 因此这种周期也称为, 人口, 建筑, 周期, 也有人将解释为基础设施投资周期, 一些现代经济评论家认为, 库兹涅茨的变化反映了土地价值的18年周期, 弗雷德, 哈里森, 英语, fred, harrison, 认为, 可以通过对土地价值征收年. 库兹涅茨周期 英語 Kuznets swing Kuznets cycle 是西蒙 库兹涅茨在1930年发现的中等长度的经济周期 长为15 25年 1 库兹涅茨把这些周期与人口过程联系在一起 特别是与移民流入 流出以及它们引起的建筑建设强度变化联系在一起 因此这种周期也称为 人口 或 建筑 周期 也有人将库兹涅茨周期解释为基础设施投资周期 2 一些现代经济评论家认为 库兹涅茨的变化反映了土地价值的18年周期 3 4 弗雷德 哈里森 英语 Fred Harrison 认为 可以通过对土地价值征收年度税 地價稅 来平滑或完全避免这种繁荣与萧条的循环 5 库兹涅茨的分析受到豪锐 Howrey 1968 的批评 6 豪锐称 库兹涅茨发现的表观上的商业周期是他选用的 滤波器 造成的假象 豪锐提出 当使用库兹涅茨滤波器时 白雜訊序列中也出出现相同的周期性模式 7 不过 库兹涅茨的主张 即使不使用库兹涅茨滤波器也可以在全球GDP动态中发现波动 8 参考文献 编辑 Kuznets S Secular Movements in Production and Prices Their Nature and their Bearing upon Cyclical Fluctuations Boston Houghton Mifflin 1930 See e g Forrester J W New Perspectives on Economic Growth Alternatives to Growth A Search for Sustainable Futures Ed by D L Meadows Cambridge MA Ballinger 1977 P 107 121 Korotayev Andrey V amp Tsirel Sergey V A Spectral Analysis of World GDP Dynamics Kondratieff Waves Kuznets Swings Juglar and Kitchin Cycles in Global Economic Development and the 2008 2009 Economic Crisis 页面存档备份 存于互联网档案馆 Structure and Dynamics 2010 Vol 4 1 P 3 57 The Great 18 Year Real Estate Cycle Cato Institute 2010 01 22 2020 03 31 原始内容存档于2018 10 26 Why we must halt the land cycle Financial Times 2020 03 31 原始内容存档于2020 03 17 Harrison Fred Fred Harrison Want to get rid of boom and bust Tax land not income The Guardian 2005 04 11 2020 03 31 原始内容存档于2020 05 16 Howrey E A spectrum analysis of the long swing hypothesis International Economic Review 9 228 252 1968 Cogley Timothy and Nason James M Effects of the Hodrick Prescott filter on trend and difference stationary time series implications for business cycle research in Real Business Cycles A Reader eds James Hartley Kevin Hoover and Kevin D Salyer 1998 p 636 Korotayev Andrey V amp Tsirel Sergey V A Spectral Analysis of World GDP Dynamics Kondratieff Waves Kuznets Swings Juglar and Kitchin Cycles in Global Economic Development and the 2008 2009 Economic Crisis 页面存档备份 存于互联网档案馆 Structure and Dynamics 2010 Vol 4 1 P 3 57 取自 https zh wikipedia org w index php title 库兹涅茨周期 amp oldid 62281051, 维基百科，wiki，书籍，书籍，图书馆，
